By
Guido Giese
,
August 22, 2024

Capital protected certificate – shaken or stirred?

Shaken or stirred? Did you know that it was not James Bond who first used this famous expression in the James Bond movie series—it was his opponent Dr. No. It wasn’t before the movie Goldfinger that James Bond actually started ordering his martini “shaken, not stirred”.

What is a capital protected certificate?

The purpose of a capital-protectedcertificate is to invest in an asset and to ensure that, at maturity, the investor receives at least a protected minimum level of capital, even if the asset price has dropped in value. This protected minimum may equal the initial investment or a percentage < 100% thereof.

How is capital protection achieved?

James Bond’s martini and the capital-protectedcertificate have something in common: there are two basic ways to create a capital-protectedcertificate— “shaking” or “stirring” in a metaphorical sense:

  • Shaking. Invest in a zero-bond which pays the protected capital at maturity and buy anat-the-money call option to gain upside exposure to the underlying asset:
  • Stirring. Invest in the underlying asset and buy an at-the money put option for downside protection:

What is the trade-off investors need to understand?

In practice, the devil is in the details: in the product design there is an important trade-off investors must consider between achieving a high upside participation on the one hand an achieving a high level of protection on the other hand: the higher the protection level you desire for a given price of the capital protected certificate, the lower the participation must be and vice versa as shown in the pay-off chart below:

To get a better sense of this trade-off and to better understand the risk and performance profile, please check out the short video below that analyzes capital protected certificates in our structured products factory application.

Why did James Bond care for shaken martinis in so many movies?

Apparently, the preference for shaken over stirred martinis came from James Bond’s creator Ian Fleming, who enjoyed martinis shaken by the German bartender Hans Schröder in Berlin’s Maison de France in the 1950s. Ian Fleming name-checked him in his novel Thrilling Cities, which was later used as basis for the movie Octopussy.

Straight up!

  • The so-called time-value of a structured product tells you how its value changes over time – all other parameters being equal.
  • Concave payoffs and payoffs that earn interest rates typically have negative time value, which means time works for you (since the negative time value shrinks towards maturity)
  • By contrast, convex payoffs typically have positive time-value, which means time works against you (since the positive time value shrinks towards maturity)

Related Books and Services

Untold Secrets of Structured Product Investing

Like Terry Pratchett, I would not want to drink a suspicious cocktail, the ingredients, and level of alcohol of which were unknown to me. Likewise, I wouldn’t want to invest my hard-earned money in some complicated investment product while understanding neither the purpose nor the risk profile of the investment. This is why I decided to write a guide that takes a deep dive into the world of structured product investing—to explain their purpose, construction rules, and risk and performance profiles. This is the book where you will find many of the untold secrets of structured products—secrets usually known only to the expert traders who construct these products. Just as you don’t need to know how to mix a martini to enjoy one, you don’t need to know any complex statistical formulas to get a great deal from this book. You should, of course, know that the likelihood for positive or negative returns is often described by probability distributions. For instance, you may want to keep in mind the plot of the bell-shaped Gaussian distribution. Payoff charts and illustrations of the probability distribution of returns are powerful concepts that we will use in this book to illustrate the performance and risk characteristics of structured products. Where I have introduced concepts, the first mention is in bold type, and you will find a full definition in the glossary.

Untold Secrets of Structured Product Investing
Just as you don’t need to know how to mix a martini to enjoy one, you don’t need to know any complex statistical formulas to get a great deal from this book.

About the Author

Guido Giese

Mathematician Guido Giese finds that analogies are some of the best tools to explain topics as complex as financial derivatives. In Untold Secrets of Structured Product Investing, Guido compares financial markets to mixology, revealing how structured products are analogous to cocktails, with special ingredients and outcomes that range from a slight euphoria (most enjoyable) to a regrettable hangover (which this book is meant to help investors avoid).


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Guido Giese

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